Understanding Inflation and How It Impacts Your Investments

Investors across the globe are concerned about inflation due to fluctuating markets and continuing political unrest both at home and abroad. At a time like this, it is critical that investors understand how inflation impacts the economy and their assets.

Inflation takes place in every country, not just those countries experiencing political dissension, market challenges, poverty, and crime. Developed markets are not exempt from currency risks that lead to economic downturns.

As you know, inflation is a sustained (inflated) price increase that leads to a fall in the purchasing power of the dollar, this is generally due to excess demand and supply issues, and may trigger other economic or market events.

Inflation is primarily measured by the consumer price index (CPI), which is based on the rate that prices increase for household goods and services consumed. The CPI omits specific non-applicable spending for items like energy prices that are impacted by factors outside consumer control; those that do not directly impact inflation.

When inflation rises—consumers may purchase fewer goods, prices may go up, and profits may go down. As a result, the economy slows down and becomes less stable than average. There is no question; inflation has a concerning impact on your investments.

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Inflationary Impact on Bonds

When it comes to investment bonds prices, inflation generally has the most impact. Heightened increase generates higher yields, which in turn leads to lower bond prices. Then inflation negatively impacts the value at maturity or the principal payment.

The impact on bonds is visible in nominal versus real returns. For example, nominal returns are “actual” yields. Real returns, on the other hand, represent inflation-adjusted yields that are paid to lenders by borrowers. As inflation compounds with time, these sums add up and adversely impact investors.

International investors are concerned about sovereign debt—the money or credit owned by a government to its creditors, according to Justin Kuepper, the author at the balance. Inflation, in this case, impacts not only bonds but also securities and bills with short-duration maturity dates. Sovereign debts may also include long-duration contracts such as pensions, services, entitlement programs, and more.

Inflationary Impact on Stocks

When interest rates hike, and companies raise their prices, investors become concerned about their financial portfolios. Stocks are generally a good hedge against inflation since company revenues can show growth at the same rate as inflation. However, investors may overpay for stocks. If companies raise prices during a boom, global sellers find it difficult to remain competitive since foreign producing companies may not need to raise their rates. Inflation means most are paying more and receiving less. Financials are overstated due to inflation.

Some economists believe that inflation of 1-3% offers a substantial return in stocks, and others believe inflation of 6% or more produces negative returns for stocks. In any case, it is difficult to determine real cause and effect analysis. Most agree that out-of-control inflation results in a lower return on equities.

What Happens When Inflationary Prices Go Back Down?

When prices go back down after inflation so do the inflated revenues, making it difficult to assess value, the primary tool by the Federal Reserve for fighting inflation is to apply short-term interest rates.  If money costs more to borrow, the Federal Reserve can remove some excess capital from the market and thus slow the price increase cycle. The goal is to reach lower, controlled inflation in which employment can increase, consumers have more to spend, and the economy grows. In most scenarios, this approach is not always easy to assess or to achieve.

Hedge Your Financial Portfolio With Precious Metals

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There are many ways in which investors prepare for inflation. It is critical to reducing risks, and one of the most attractive ways to hedge your financial portfolio is with substantial assets such as precious metals. By investing in non-inflationary security such as gold or silver, investors weather the storm of economic downturns. Gold bullion, a gold-backed individual retirement account (IRA) or silver are some of the most sought-after securities in a market such as the one the US and national economies are facing.

The question is, should investors be concerned about today’s inflationary threats when it comes to their investments? A diversified financial portfolio is one that is planned to withstand uncertain times in which inflation is imminent. Gold and silver monetary assets are the answers.

Keep in mind; inflation destroys purchasing power. Whether your financial future is well balanced or you are a retiree on a fixed income, you need secure assets to withstand whatever the market bears. With a diversified portfolio that includes stocks, bonds, and tangible precious metals to hedge against inflation, you take a step in protecting your assets and those of your family for the future.

Cash assets are always recommended, but inflation works against this type of fiat money. Consider that an item valued at a specific dollar amount will be worth less after a period of inflation. A purchase in gold or silver is a substantial addition to any portfolio and one that is stable and free from government regulations. Hedge yourself from inflation now by purchasing protected security in precious metals. Invest in gold or silver today. You may not want to wait until another round of recession

Learn how a Gold, Silver, & Precious Metals IRA can help you hedge against inflation

When the world goes cashless, go for the gold

Hurricane Helene’s devastation of the western North Carolina region was catastrophic. There are many lessons to be learned, and many warnings to heed.

One lesson is that prepping is not something only crazy conspiracy theorists do because they fear some Mad Max apocalyptic dystopian future. It is something sensible people do because sometimes it rains. The people getting along best in the mountains right now had generators on hand, a way to filter water and make it drinkable. They had batteries, flashlights, shelf stable food supplies and gas-powered cooking equipment. It never hurts to be prepared.

We also got a new look at what modern life looks like in the face of longer term, widespread power and internet loss. To quote this Facebook user, “It gets weird fast.”

You can’t hardly open a hotel room anymore without electricity. It was a challenge to pump gas at stations that had any left, let alone pay for it. Out came the calculators and paper ledgers. It was back to the stone ages. If you didn’t have enough cash on hand for your immediate needs, you were relying on the kindness of strangers. And hurricane victims in the mountains are receiving a lot of kindness right now, but some of us hate to be put in that position. We prefer to have resources to pay our own way, as needed.

Keep these lessons in mind as the world continues to barrel towards a cashless society. More and more businesses are taking cards only for their normal daily operations. What will they do when their power grid fails someday?

And if cash disappears altogether, you’ll be glad you put aside a little gold and silver in your home safe. Should disaster strike, even many years in the future, a couple silver coins will likely still buy you a tank of gas or a few days supply of groceries. Maybe an ounce or two of gold will handsomely reward the fellow who repairs your driveway. You never know.

But it will be better to have it and not need it than need it and have nothing. And of course, bitcoin doesn’t do anyone in the mountains one bit of good right now if they have no internet and a dead phone.

Are you ready to get serious about preparing for the future? There are so many reasons to invest in physical gold and silver right now. Emergency preparedness is just one. And not even the best one. There are so many more. Call us and let us help you get started.

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Could Gold Re-Monetize?

For thousands of years of human history, humans have naturally gravitated to gold and silver as money. Is paper losing ground?

Money is both a store of wealth and a medium of exchange. For something to be considered money, it must have certain characteristics. Scarcity, desirability, divisibility, universal recognizability and acceptance, portability, durability. Gold and silver have almost magically fulfilled those requirements in unconnected cultures in diverse times and places all throughout history. No other substance lends itself so naturally to these purposes.

Is it hubris to think that paper and digital representations of money can permanently replace what has worked for hundred of centuries? Maybe so…

Consider that since the US weaponized the dollar and shut out Russia and other nations with sanctions, that negates an important and vital characteristic of money – universal acceptability. If a significant portion of the globe is shut out of the dollar, yet they still have oil and goods and a desire to engage in global commerce, they will still do so, but will trade in something else.

Consider Russia’s recent announcement that they will use their recent oil windfalls to acquire more gold. Russia selling oil for gold in September – The Jerusalem Post (jpost.com) And not just by a little. Their purchases of gold will go from 1 billion rubles a day to 8 billion rubles a day. This is largely enabled by massive profit increases from gold sales.

What are they doing with this gold? It looks like they are using it to pay Chinese suppliers. https://vblgoldfix.substack.com/p/russian-businesses-now-using-gold The Chinese are more than happy to accept payment in gold for manufactured goods.

Gold has become a medium of exchange between Russia, the oil markets and China.

Will this trend grow? Is gold retaking its place as a global currency? That remains to be seen, but it recently reached yet another all-time high last week at $2580 an ounce.

The dollar used to capture trade deals like this. Yes, even between foreign countries that were not even interacting with the US. That universal acceptance and desirability was part of what spurred so much demand for US dollars. The dollar’s status as THE currency of international business allowed us to print so much currency with little to no inflation here at home to show for it. We exported all our inflation. In fact, dollars have been our chief export for over 5 decades, since Nixon closed the gold window in the 1970’s.

If that comes to an end, you should look at the price of gold not so much as gold going HIGHER, but the reality of the dollar going LOWER.

Are you ready to preserve your purchasing power with gold? If this trend DOES continue, this would be a power move to make right now. Call us while you can still get a good amount of precious metals for your diminishing dollars!

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Strap In. Roller Coaster Markets Ahead

In today’s uncertain financial landscape, protecting and diversifying your portfolio has never been more urgent. The latest economic indicators are flashing warning signs that a downturn could be on the horizon, leaving many investors exposed to the volatility of dollar-denominated “paper” assets like stocks, bonds, and cash.

Why wait to act? Here’s what we know:

Economic Pessimism is Rising: A recent survey from the Fed shows weaker job growth and a slowing economy. More Americans are locked into jobs they may not be satisfied with because hiring is more and more stagnant. Growing pessimism among leading economists and financial experts is partly fueled by a widening trade deficit and lower productivity in the US. Sluggish growth, inflationary pressures, and other factors indicate potential market corrections could be on the horizon.
Market Volatility is Increasing: Today’s markets anticipate and then react to more and more bad news. Uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policies, rising debt levels, and geopolitical tensions is leading to greater instability in global markets, with many pointing to an almost inevitable downturn.
Inflation is Eroding Wealth: As inflation persists, the purchasing power of your dollar-denominated assets is diminishing, putting your financial future at risk. In spite of optimistic economic indicators from the ivory towers, Americans are still grasping at pennies when shopping for basic necessities.

What can you do to safeguard your wealth?

It’s time to consider moving a portion of your portfolio out of “paper” assets and into hard assets like gold and silver. Precious metals have been a trusted store of value for centuries, acting as a hedge against inflation, economic uncertainty, and market volatility.

Here’s why you should act now:

Diversify Your Portfolio: Gold and silver can reduce your exposure to dollar depreciation and market downturns, offering greater stability in times of crisis.
Inflation Hedge: Historically, precious metals retain their value and even appreciate during inflationary periods, protecting your purchasing power.
Global Demand is Increasing: As more investors flock to safe-haven assets, demand for gold and silver is surging. Acting now ensures you lock in today’s prices before they rise further.

Your Next Steps
Don’t wait for the markets to dictate your financial future. Protect yourself by diversifying into gold and silver now.

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