No End in Sight for the US Debt

Historically, the United States national debt has been an issue. Now more than ever before in the history of our nation, it is a significant concern. The national debt is at the point of hitting its borrowing limit, a situation that the US government must avoid if the country is to continue spending as it is. The argument has become a partisan one, as Republicans claim reckless spending is irresponsible, while Democrats claim continued spending on government services is essential.

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Why Is the US Hitting a “Debt Ceiling”

Every year since the 2010s, America has been teetering on the brink of a debt crisis, with national debt perilously close to hitting a “debt ceiling.” The President and members of Congress are continually arguing over whether to raise it.

The United States debt ceiling, also known as the debt limit, is a legal limit on how much national debt the United States Treasury can incur, which limits how much money the federal government can pay on the debt they have borrowed.

United States national debt is a measure of debt owed by the federal government to its creditors. The national debt is a measure of the portion of federal debt held by the public, rather than the amount of debt held by the government. US government spending almost always surpasses its revenues, causing the national debt to rise continuously.

The current US debt is over $31 trillion! According to experts, in the case of the government defaulting on its debt, the economic consequences could be catastrophic.

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The National Debt Affects Everyone

With the national debt growing immensely year over year, it is not a surprise that the American population is starting to question how this may affect them.

US citizens are right to be concerned as the economic environment is bound to weaken. Government spending on interest costs increases as the federal debt grows, crowding out public investments. As more federal resources are diverted to interest payments, there is less available to invest in important areas for economic growth.

As the rate offered on Treasury securities rises, corporations in the United States are viewed as riskier, which increases the yield on newly issued bonds. In turn, this forces corporations to raise their prices to cover the increased cost of their debt service obligation. Then, this causes people to pay more for goods and services, ultimately causing inflation, which the public is seeing today.

It is also important to note that when a country is at risk of defaulting on its debt obligations, it loses social, economic, and political power. A national security issue is then imminent.

Gold As an Inflation Hedge

With inflation on the rise, people begin to look for ways they can preserve their money.

iStock 516357668Historically, gold has been seen as a helpful asset that combats purchasing power against inflation during challenging economic times, since it tends to hold its value over the long term despite fluctuations. The COVID-19 pandemic increased the popularity of precious metal as a hedging instrument, which increased its price.

At Reagan Gold Group (RGG), we offer gold and silver investment solutions that are found to be essential in a weakened economy amidst national US debt. It is now time to begin re-evaluating your investments and find a proper hedge against inflation. With the help of RGG, both individuals and significant investors can make critical decisions that successfully impact personal and business futures.

Contact RGG today to learn more about how physical gold and silver can balance your portfolio, well before the deep catastrophes of a serious economic depression set in.

Learn how a Gold, Silver, & Precious Metals IRA can help you hedge against inflation

Trump’s Golden Age and Your Golden Years

As Donald Trump prepares to assume office for a second term, his vision of a “new American golden age” has sparked considerable debate about the future of the economy and financial markets. For investors, particularly those interested in precious metals like gold and silver, this moment represents both opportunities and questions. What happened to the price of gold during Trump’s first administration, and what might his second term mean for precious metals? 

Gold in the First Trump Administration: A Look Back 

Gold prices experienced notable movements during Trump’s first term (2017–2021), reflecting both domestic and global economic trends. 

Economic Growth and Tax Cuts (2017-2018): 
Trump’s first term began with a focus on economic growth, fueled by significant corporate tax cuts and deregulation. 
Gold prices remained relatively stable during this period, averaging around $1,200–$1,300 per ounce, as strong stock market performance diverted investor attention from safe-haven assets. 
Trade Wars and Market Volatility (2018-2019): 
The U.S.-China trade war caused market uncertainty, boosting gold prices as investors sought safety. 
By mid-2019, gold had surged past $1,500 per ounce, reflecting heightened fears of global economic slowdowns and fluctuating U.S. dollar strength. 
The COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): 
The pandemic triggered massive economic stimulus measures, including record-low interest rates and unprecedented money printing by central banks. 
Gold prices reached an all-time high of $2,070 per ounce in August 2020 as investors flocked to hard assets to hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.
 

Trump 2.0: What Could It Mean for Precious Metals? 

Trump’s second term could usher in new economic policies and challenges that may impact the price of gold and silver. Here’s what to watch: 

Geopolitical Uncertainty: 
Trump’s “America First” policies, including potential trade disputes and a focus on reducing U.S. reliance on foreign supply chains, could create market volatility, driving demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 
Inflation Concerns: 
If Trump prioritizes economic stimulus and infrastructure spending, inflation fears may rise, further enhancing gold’s appeal as a hedge against the eroding value of the dollar. 
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): 
Discussions about launching a U.S. CBDC could spark debates about financial privacy and control, pushing investors toward tangible, private assets like gold and silver. 
Interest Rates and Monetary Policy: 
Trump has historically favored low interest rates to support economic growth. A continuation of this stance could weaken the dollar, making gold and silver more attractive. 

 
Why Precious Metals Remain Relevant 

Gold and silver have long been considered stores of value, particularly during times of economic uncertainty. As Trump declares the dawn of a “new American golden age,” savvy investors may view precious metals as a hedge against the very volatility that such bold declarations can create. 

Key Reasons to Consider Precious Metals Now: 

Wealth Preservation: Gold and silver protect purchasing power in the face of inflation. 
Safe Haven: Precious metals thrive during geopolitical tensions and market instability. 
Portfolio Diversification: Adding gold and silver reduces overall portfolio risk. 

 

Conclusion: A Golden Opportunity Awaits 

While Trump’s second term promises bold initiatives, it also introduces potential risks to the economy. Whether through trade disputes, inflationary pressures, or shifts in monetary policy, the factors influencing gold and silver prices are poised to remain active. 

For investors, the “Trump 2.0” era represents an opportunity to safeguard wealth and capitalize on market uncertainties by turning to precious metals. As we navigate this “new American golden age,” gold and silver may once again prove why they’ve stood the test of time as the ultimate safe havens. 

Start your journey toward financial security today. Explore the timeless value of gold and silver and fortify your portfolio for the opportunities ahead. 

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Inflation Watch: A Mixed Bag but Bullish on Gold

As we navigate through the economic landscape of early 2025, one trend stands out with a shimmering allure: gold. Amidst the complexities of inflation, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuating market dynamics, gold has not only held its ground but has significantly appreciated, presenting a compelling case for investment.

Recent economic data paints a picture of inflation that’s both cooling and heating in different sectors. The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for December 2024 came in below expectations at a year-over-year increase of 3.3%, suggesting a slowdown in inflation at the producer level. However, specific sectors like airfares have seen significant price hikes, indicating that inflation pressures persist in certain areas.

On the global stage, India’s retail inflation hit a four-month low, yet wholesale inflation rose, showcasing the divergent paths inflation can take based on local economic conditions. This mixed signal on inflation globally underscores the unpredictability of traditional investments, highlighting gold’s role as a hedge against such uncertainties.

Gold’s Unprecedented Performance

Gold has been breaking records and defying traditional market correlations. Despite strong U.S. dollar indicators and rising treasury yields, which typically would push gold prices down, gold has surged past $2700 per ounce. This resilience is not just a blip; it’s backed by significant buying from central banks and investors looking for stability amidst global uncertainties.

The metal’s performance in 2024, where it maintained a positive correlation with the S&P 500 for 91% of the time, marks a departure from its usual inverse relationship with stocks. This anomaly, coupled with gold’s significant outperformance against global government bonds since 2008, suggests that markets no longer trust all the “good” news, and in fact see past the headlines to the symptoms of froth in the markets.

Many institutional investors are not reassured by high stock prices but instead see a dangerous bubble and are divesting into cash.

Gold is a part of that strategy. Gold is no longer just a safe haven but a strategic asset in an investor’s portfolio.

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The Tale of the Declining Dollar – Told in 6 Eye-Opening Charts (Part 1)

It may seem counter-intuitive. It may seem impossible to imagine or hyperbolic. The dollar has been there your whole life and all that time, it has been solid – more or less, apart from a few stretches of deep inflation. It is the world’s reserve currency. The money on which international trade is based. The petrodollar makes the world go round, in many ways. You may have a sense deep in your bones that because the dollar has always been there, it will always be there.

But you know the rule of thumb in finance: past performance is no guarantee of future returns. That applies to all assets, no exceptions. Not even the US dollar.

SHOULD you have all your assets in dollar denominated investments? Or should you diversify just in case?

No hysterics here.

We are going to calmly and rationally walk you through 6 charts that demonstrate factually and logically why NOW is the time for gold precisely because the future is not guaranteed for the dollar, and in fact, using simple math you can clearly see there is not only trouble ahead; there is trouble right now.

We’ll start with the first 2 this week. Watch your inbox for the next 2 next week.

1. US Public debt

Exploding Debt Undermining Our Financial Foundation

What could possibly go wrong with debt to infinity?

At the root of all this is the public debt. It has only escalated and exploded since Ronald Reagan called attention to it in the 1980’s. Lately, the dollar has been severely abused by the emergence of Modern Monetary Theory, which states (in a nutshell) that if a country runs its own printing press, it can spend as much money as it wants to, issue all the debt it needs, paper over the debt with more currency, and then tax away the inflation. Academics and economists who seriously believe this have seized the levers of power.

What could possibly go wrong? (Everything…)

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2. Gold Price CAGR

Other Assets Limp Along. Gold Gallops!

Your gains are not as impressive as they could be…

Let’s compare gold to the broader economy by looking at compound annual growth rates (CAGR). Here you can see year to date commodities gaining just 6% to gold’s monster 31% growth! More than double the aggressive emerging markets’ gains of 13%!

Just to demonstrate that this is not a 1 year anomaly, look at the 10 year compound annual growth rate and you will still see gold beating every other category at 8.29%, while the US treasury index actually shrinks!

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To be continued…

Gold’s price is determined by the spot price, which represents its current market value for immediate delivery. This spot price is influenced by trading activity on major global exchanges like the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) and COMEX in New York. The LBMA sets the gold price twice daily at 10:30 AM and 3:00 PM GMT, establishing benchmarks based on global supply and demand. Platinum and palladium prices are similarly set by the London Platinum and Palladium Market. Futures markets also play a critical role in determining spot prices, as these contracts, which commit to buying or selling precious metals at a future date, heavily influence daily market values.

Precious metal prices are dynamic, often changing multiple times per minute during active trading hours. They fluctuate based on a variety of factors, including geopolitical events, economic indicators like inflation rates, and the strength of the U.S. dollar, as these metals are priced in dollars globally. Additionally, market activity occurs nearly 24 hours a day due to the overlapping of trading in Asia, Europe, and North America. Markets typically pause late Friday and reopen Sunday evening U.S. time, providing a short break in the otherwise continuous trading cycle.

Prices also respond to specific triggers. Limited mining production can drive prices higher, while abundant supply may reduce them. Economic uncertainty, such as during periods of inflation or geopolitical instability, often increases demand for precious metals as they are sought out as safe havens. A weaker U.S. dollar tends to raise prices, as more dollars are required to purchase the same amount of metal. Conversely, higher interest rates may reduce the appeal of metals, as they do not generate income or dividends.
For consumers considering physical bullion, it’s important to note the difference between spot prices and retail prices. When purchasing coins or bars, buyers typically pay a premium over the spot price. These premiums cover costs like manufacturing, distribution, dealer markups, shipping, and insurance. Additionally, owning physical bullion requires secure storage. Options range from home safes and bank safety deposit boxes to professional vaults offered by many dealers. Gold and silver are the most liquid precious metals, making them easier to sell quickly, whereas platinum and palladium are more closely tied to industrial demand and can be less predictable in value.
Tax implications should also be considered, as profits from selling precious metals may be subject to capital gains taxes. It’s wise to consult with a financial advisor to understand tax obligations and plan accordingly. Buying physical gold for retirement security offers significant benefits, particularly as a hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations. Gold has been a stable store of value for centuries, and its ability to diversify investment portfolios makes it an attractive option during periods of economic uncertainty. Silver, platinum, and palladium can complement gold investments, though their value is often more volatile due to industrial uses.
Understanding how gold and other precious metals are priced, when markets operate, and the factors influencing value can empower you to make more informed decisions. The price of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium is controlled by global markets, influenced by supply and demand, and subject to constant fluctuations. If you’re considering physical gold bullion for retirement security, focus on understanding the spot price, premiums, and storage options. Diversifying with gold can provide a hedge against inflation and economic instability, offering peace of mind for your financial future.

With this knowledge, you’re better equipped to navigate the precious metals market and make confident investment decisions. With proper planning and knowledge, investing in physical bullion can provide peace of mind and stability for those seeking to secure their financial future during retirement.

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