How To Move Ahead – Amidst a Worldwide Economic Recovery

 iStock 134037630 1 iStock 1153879953As the world begins to prepare for a COVID-19 recovery period, it is no surprise that nearly every human life has been impacted. The devastation is centering around personal health, finances, supply availability, jobs, and businesses. In less than four months, the coronavirus epidemic created anxiety, along with grief and depression for individuals, families, and companies across the globe. In fact, according to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate went from an all-time low of 3.5 in December 2019 to 4.4% in March 2020, then 14.7% in April 2020, totaling over 22 million unemployed, and still growing! While it is indeed a time of uncertainty for many, it is also a time in which people and businesses can reflect, consider what we’ve learned, and begin to take action toward both recovery and a healthier, safer future.

 

We’ve Learned So Much

The coronavirus has impacted many people differently, but one thing is certain: such a crisis makes businesses and individuals re-evaluate identity, the current state of affairs, achievements, ability to move forward, health, and so much more. If there is a positive outcome from the terrible COVID-19 outbreak, it is “lessons learned.” While some regions are still in the middle of the devastation and other areas are just beginning to think about recovery,

there is still much to witness and learn. It’s just not over yet, but if we take stock of what we’ve learned so far, we can turn some aspects of this disaster into something good.

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What We’d Do Differently in Terms of Health?

From a health perspective, we’ve heard the daily briefings and online doctors over and over. Most health actions are common sense, but the reminders can never be stressed enough (especially as many people do not take the spread seriously). We need to take every precaution to protect ourselves, family, friends, and businesses.

  • Wear a mask or face scarf and gloves in the public
  • Keep a 6′ distance from other people
  • Wash/sanitize hands regularly
  • Sanitize all surfaces regularly
  • Keep sanitizing products on hand
  • Stock a supply of medical supplies and personal protective equipment (PPE)
  • Bring essential medical supplies and drug production back to the US
  • Create a will describing your wishes, and make sure it’s notarized
  • Consider a diversified investment (such as gold) and get a better night’s sleep

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What We’d Do Differently in Terms of Finances?

Personal wealth has been hit hard. Most long-term investment plans are shot. Many people living week-to-week are now behind on their payments. Small businesses are suffering, losing staff, applying for loans with no clue how it will be paid back, and possibly having to close their doors. Overall, financial portfolios have been devastated. While it seems there is no hope, we have learned that we will recover, but we must “be prepared” for a future disaster. Precious metals are indeed an attractive solution in times like these. There is urgency in making this type of investment because premiums on metals are fastly increasing due to current demand and limited supplies. Some actions to consider:

  • Create a financial disaster preparedness plan
  • Place our jobs back on American soil
  • Never be dependent on others or the government; work to be financially self-sufficient
  • Re-evaluate personal stock market investments
  • Order gold and silver now to hedge a financial portfolio with alternative investments while supplies last and before premiums increase
  • Set up a backup plan independent of government funding
  • Move money out of the banks and invest in other commodities such as real estate and metals
  • Search for alternative currencies
  • Move some funds out of the financial system

What We’d Do Differently in Terms of Goods and Supplies

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We’ve learned about the goods and supplies we desperately need daily, including fuel, food, health and sanitization products, and paper supplies. First and foremost, we’d stock up on paper goods and disinfectants! The real reason for the shortage of these items, however, is a result of human hoarding. Because of high volatility in the markets, the precious metals industry is encountering major problems accumulating metals to fund peoples’ orders because of hoarding. Also, mint production companies are closed; therefore, new inventory is not produced, resulting in limited supplies. If everyone stocked up in goods and supplies over time while they are readily available, next time, perhaps the need for hoarding would be minimized (doubtful). In the meantime, we’ve learned we may not be able to depend on the system to get the fuel, food, and the supplies we need. What can we do differently?

  • Create a personal disaster preparedness plan
  • No longer rely on other countries to supply us with oil, prescriptions, and medical supplies
  • Stock up on non-perishables such as dried foods, paper goods, and disinfectants – at least a three-month supply
  • Plant a garden and stock it with fruits, vegetables, and herbs (save the seeds)
  • Store some water; a water heater is an excellent supply, but one can’t have too much
  • Create a camping tub (or enhance an existing one) to camp out at home if needed, and that includes propane, a camping stove, lighting, etc.
  • Make a list of the personal items needed to survive in a crisis (medications, health and safety items, water, grooming aids, etc.), and keep them in stock (with expiration dates in mind)
  • Stock up on precious metals as a hedge against inflation before the metals cost more

What We’d Do Differently in Terms of Businesses and Jobs

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So far, we’ve learned that most small businesses and individuals are not financially self-sufficient for more than one month. However, disappointing that is, we recognize the need to make changes in order to create a three-month survival plan. Governor Gavin Newsom just announced on 5/15/20 that the State of California will quarantine for an additional three months because there is no vaccine or proven effective medication to date for the coronavirus. It was announced that we could wait 18 or more months for this to happen. As a business owner (or an employee), several actions can be taken to prepare for this delay or another unexpected event:

  • Prepare gold and silver tangible assets as your backup plan to manage risk, promote stability, hedge against the U.S. Dollar, and hedge against the upcoming inflation that may arise.
  • Stock up on supplies and equipment employees might need
  • Take on backlogged projects that need attention
  • Design a resiliency plan and present it to staff for ideas and testing
  • Revisit regular suppliers and ensure long-term relationships and agreements; so the company can count on them in the case of an emergency
  • Lead by example during a time of crisis; show work teams they are working for a caring company; assist in motivating and engaging staff to keep them on board
  • Maintain transparent communications throughout a difficult period
  • Visit the CDC and US Equal Employment Opportunity Commission (EEOC) to become familiar with current labor laws
  • Protect employee health and safety: Consider flexible schedules, PPE on hand, avoiding personal contact, health posters, symptom trackers in place, remote workforce or shift-work to minimize exposure, etc.
  • In the case of a layoff, provide employment options and guidance

We’ve Learned To Be Prepared 

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As a nation, there are many actions individuals and companies can take to prepare for the present and the future. Both worldwide and nationwide crises are inevitable, but rather than wait for the next disaster to happen, take action now. We’ve learned ONE crucial thing: we can be more prepared. It’s time to assemble health-, finance-, supplies-, job-, and business-preparedness plans. While no two disasters are the same, some or all of these areas of human impact are likely. Work with those you love and employ to devise plans today that could prove worthy for the future in this unsettled atmosphere in which we live and work. Consider gold and silver as stable insurance to hedge yourself and your family.

Learn how a Gold, Silver, & Precious Metals IRA can help you hedge against inflation

Trump’s Golden Age and Your Golden Years

As Donald Trump prepares to assume office for a second term, his vision of a “new American golden age” has sparked considerable debate about the future of the economy and financial markets. For investors, particularly those interested in precious metals like gold and silver, this moment represents both opportunities and questions. What happened to the price of gold during Trump’s first administration, and what might his second term mean for precious metals? 

Gold in the First Trump Administration: A Look Back 

Gold prices experienced notable movements during Trump’s first term (2017–2021), reflecting both domestic and global economic trends. 

Economic Growth and Tax Cuts (2017-2018): 
Trump’s first term began with a focus on economic growth, fueled by significant corporate tax cuts and deregulation. 
Gold prices remained relatively stable during this period, averaging around $1,200–$1,300 per ounce, as strong stock market performance diverted investor attention from safe-haven assets. 
Trade Wars and Market Volatility (2018-2019): 
The U.S.-China trade war caused market uncertainty, boosting gold prices as investors sought safety. 
By mid-2019, gold had surged past $1,500 per ounce, reflecting heightened fears of global economic slowdowns and fluctuating U.S. dollar strength. 
The COVID-19 Pandemic (2020): 
The pandemic triggered massive economic stimulus measures, including record-low interest rates and unprecedented money printing by central banks. 
Gold prices reached an all-time high of $2,070 per ounce in August 2020 as investors flocked to hard assets to hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.
 

Trump 2.0: What Could It Mean for Precious Metals? 

Trump’s second term could usher in new economic policies and challenges that may impact the price of gold and silver. Here’s what to watch: 

Geopolitical Uncertainty: 
Trump’s “America First” policies, including potential trade disputes and a focus on reducing U.S. reliance on foreign supply chains, could create market volatility, driving demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 
Inflation Concerns: 
If Trump prioritizes economic stimulus and infrastructure spending, inflation fears may rise, further enhancing gold’s appeal as a hedge against the eroding value of the dollar. 
Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs): 
Discussions about launching a U.S. CBDC could spark debates about financial privacy and control, pushing investors toward tangible, private assets like gold and silver. 
Interest Rates and Monetary Policy: 
Trump has historically favored low interest rates to support economic growth. A continuation of this stance could weaken the dollar, making gold and silver more attractive. 

 
Why Precious Metals Remain Relevant 

Gold and silver have long been considered stores of value, particularly during times of economic uncertainty. As Trump declares the dawn of a “new American golden age,” savvy investors may view precious metals as a hedge against the very volatility that such bold declarations can create. 

Key Reasons to Consider Precious Metals Now: 

Wealth Preservation: Gold and silver protect purchasing power in the face of inflation. 
Safe Haven: Precious metals thrive during geopolitical tensions and market instability. 
Portfolio Diversification: Adding gold and silver reduces overall portfolio risk. 

 

Conclusion: A Golden Opportunity Awaits 

While Trump’s second term promises bold initiatives, it also introduces potential risks to the economy. Whether through trade disputes, inflationary pressures, or shifts in monetary policy, the factors influencing gold and silver prices are poised to remain active. 

For investors, the “Trump 2.0” era represents an opportunity to safeguard wealth and capitalize on market uncertainties by turning to precious metals. As we navigate this “new American golden age,” gold and silver may once again prove why they’ve stood the test of time as the ultimate safe havens. 

Start your journey toward financial security today. Explore the timeless value of gold and silver and fortify your portfolio for the opportunities ahead. 

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Inflation Watch: A Mixed Bag but Bullish on Gold

As we navigate through the economic landscape of early 2025, one trend stands out with a shimmering allure: gold. Amidst the complexities of inflation, geopolitical tensions, and fluctuating market dynamics, gold has not only held its ground but has significantly appreciated, presenting a compelling case for investment.

Recent economic data paints a picture of inflation that’s both cooling and heating in different sectors. The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) for December 2024 came in below expectations at a year-over-year increase of 3.3%, suggesting a slowdown in inflation at the producer level. However, specific sectors like airfares have seen significant price hikes, indicating that inflation pressures persist in certain areas.

On the global stage, India’s retail inflation hit a four-month low, yet wholesale inflation rose, showcasing the divergent paths inflation can take based on local economic conditions. This mixed signal on inflation globally underscores the unpredictability of traditional investments, highlighting gold’s role as a hedge against such uncertainties.

Gold’s Unprecedented Performance

Gold has been breaking records and defying traditional market correlations. Despite strong U.S. dollar indicators and rising treasury yields, which typically would push gold prices down, gold has surged past $2700 per ounce. This resilience is not just a blip; it’s backed by significant buying from central banks and investors looking for stability amidst global uncertainties.

The metal’s performance in 2024, where it maintained a positive correlation with the S&P 500 for 91% of the time, marks a departure from its usual inverse relationship with stocks. This anomaly, coupled with gold’s significant outperformance against global government bonds since 2008, suggests that markets no longer trust all the “good” news, and in fact see past the headlines to the symptoms of froth in the markets.

Many institutional investors are not reassured by high stock prices but instead see a dangerous bubble and are divesting into cash.

Gold is a part of that strategy. Gold is no longer just a safe haven but a strategic asset in an investor’s portfolio.

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The Tale of the Declining Dollar – Told in 6 Eye-Opening Charts (Part 1)

It may seem counter-intuitive. It may seem impossible to imagine or hyperbolic. The dollar has been there your whole life and all that time, it has been solid – more or less, apart from a few stretches of deep inflation. It is the world’s reserve currency. The money on which international trade is based. The petrodollar makes the world go round, in many ways. You may have a sense deep in your bones that because the dollar has always been there, it will always be there.

But you know the rule of thumb in finance: past performance is no guarantee of future returns. That applies to all assets, no exceptions. Not even the US dollar.

SHOULD you have all your assets in dollar denominated investments? Or should you diversify just in case?

No hysterics here.

We are going to calmly and rationally walk you through 6 charts that demonstrate factually and logically why NOW is the time for gold precisely because the future is not guaranteed for the dollar, and in fact, using simple math you can clearly see there is not only trouble ahead; there is trouble right now.

We’ll start with the first 2 this week. Watch your inbox for the next 2 next week.

1. US Public debt

Exploding Debt Undermining Our Financial Foundation

What could possibly go wrong with debt to infinity?

At the root of all this is the public debt. It has only escalated and exploded since Ronald Reagan called attention to it in the 1980’s. Lately, the dollar has been severely abused by the emergence of Modern Monetary Theory, which states (in a nutshell) that if a country runs its own printing press, it can spend as much money as it wants to, issue all the debt it needs, paper over the debt with more currency, and then tax away the inflation. Academics and economists who seriously believe this have seized the levers of power.

What could possibly go wrong? (Everything…)

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2. Gold Price CAGR

Other Assets Limp Along. Gold Gallops!

Your gains are not as impressive as they could be…

Let’s compare gold to the broader economy by looking at compound annual growth rates (CAGR). Here you can see year to date commodities gaining just 6% to gold’s monster 31% growth! More than double the aggressive emerging markets’ gains of 13%!

Just to demonstrate that this is not a 1 year anomaly, look at the 10 year compound annual growth rate and you will still see gold beating every other category at 8.29%, while the US treasury index actually shrinks!

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To be continued…

Gold’s price is determined by the spot price, which represents its current market value for immediate delivery. This spot price is influenced by trading activity on major global exchanges like the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) and COMEX in New York. The LBMA sets the gold price twice daily at 10:30 AM and 3:00 PM GMT, establishing benchmarks based on global supply and demand. Platinum and palladium prices are similarly set by the London Platinum and Palladium Market. Futures markets also play a critical role in determining spot prices, as these contracts, which commit to buying or selling precious metals at a future date, heavily influence daily market values.

Precious metal prices are dynamic, often changing multiple times per minute during active trading hours. They fluctuate based on a variety of factors, including geopolitical events, economic indicators like inflation rates, and the strength of the U.S. dollar, as these metals are priced in dollars globally. Additionally, market activity occurs nearly 24 hours a day due to the overlapping of trading in Asia, Europe, and North America. Markets typically pause late Friday and reopen Sunday evening U.S. time, providing a short break in the otherwise continuous trading cycle.

Prices also respond to specific triggers. Limited mining production can drive prices higher, while abundant supply may reduce them. Economic uncertainty, such as during periods of inflation or geopolitical instability, often increases demand for precious metals as they are sought out as safe havens. A weaker U.S. dollar tends to raise prices, as more dollars are required to purchase the same amount of metal. Conversely, higher interest rates may reduce the appeal of metals, as they do not generate income or dividends.
For consumers considering physical bullion, it’s important to note the difference between spot prices and retail prices. When purchasing coins or bars, buyers typically pay a premium over the spot price. These premiums cover costs like manufacturing, distribution, dealer markups, shipping, and insurance. Additionally, owning physical bullion requires secure storage. Options range from home safes and bank safety deposit boxes to professional vaults offered by many dealers. Gold and silver are the most liquid precious metals, making them easier to sell quickly, whereas platinum and palladium are more closely tied to industrial demand and can be less predictable in value.
Tax implications should also be considered, as profits from selling precious metals may be subject to capital gains taxes. It’s wise to consult with a financial advisor to understand tax obligations and plan accordingly. Buying physical gold for retirement security offers significant benefits, particularly as a hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations. Gold has been a stable store of value for centuries, and its ability to diversify investment portfolios makes it an attractive option during periods of economic uncertainty. Silver, platinum, and palladium can complement gold investments, though their value is often more volatile due to industrial uses.
Understanding how gold and other precious metals are priced, when markets operate, and the factors influencing value can empower you to make more informed decisions. The price of gold, silver, platinum, and palladium is controlled by global markets, influenced by supply and demand, and subject to constant fluctuations. If you’re considering physical gold bullion for retirement security, focus on understanding the spot price, premiums, and storage options. Diversifying with gold can provide a hedge against inflation and economic instability, offering peace of mind for your financial future.

With this knowledge, you’re better equipped to navigate the precious metals market and make confident investment decisions. With proper planning and knowledge, investing in physical bullion can provide peace of mind and stability for those seeking to secure their financial future during retirement.

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