3 - Minute Read

Gold Breaks $3,300:

Experts Say $4,000 Is Now in Sight

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Gold soared past the $3,300 mark on April 16, once again shattering an all-time high as investors and retirees continue to seek safety amid growing global uncertainty. The precious metal climbed more than 6% in the last week and is up over 25% year to date, fueled by escalating U.S.–China trade tensions, a faltering dollar, aggressive central bank buying and recession fears.  “Gold is clearly seen as the favored safe-haven asset in a world upended by the trade war,” Nitesh Shah, commodities strategist at WisdomTree, told Reuters. “The U.S. dollar has depreciated and U.S. Treasuries are selling off hard, as faith in the U.S. as a reliable trading partner has diminished.” 

What’s Driving the Surge?

  • China strikes back. China raised tariffs on U.S. imports to as high as 125%, escalating the trade war between the world’s two largest economies. The move has rattled global markets and accelerated fears of a worldwide recession. 
  • Rate cut expectations. U.S. producer prices unexpectedly fell 0.4% in March, adding fuel to speculation that the Federal Reserve will resume cutting rates as early as June. Traders are now pricing in nearly 90 basis points in cuts by the end of 2025. 
  • Weak dollar adds fuel to the fire. The U.S. dollar is losing strength, mainly because of Trump’s protectionist policies. Many global investors are selling off dollar-related assets like stocks and bonds. As a result, the Dollar Index—which tracks the dollar’s value against other major currencies—fell from 109 to below 100, hitting a 3-year low. 

Could Gold Hit $4,000?

According to several major analysts, the answer is a resounding yes. Goldman Sachs sees a possible range of $3,650 to $3,950 by the end of 2025, citing stronger-than-expected demand from central banks and higher exchange-traded fund inflows due to recession risks. 

Additionally, UBS, a multinational investment bank and financial services firm, recently updated its gold price forecasts, now predicting the precious metal will rally to $3,500 in 2025 and remain elevated through 2026.  

“The case for adding gold allocations has become more compelling than ever in this environment of escalating tariff uncertainty, weaker growth, higher inflation and lingering geopolitical risks,” UBS strategist Joni Teves said in a note. 

And the momentum may just be getting started. 

Gold’s rally past $3,300 an ounce may only be the beginning of a much larger move, potentially toward $4,000, as traditional safe havens fracture, Bitcoin falters and the U.S. stock market staggers at historically extreme valuations. That’s the view of Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence, who told Kitco News that we are witnessing “the beginning of a bear market in the U.S. stock market” and a paradigm shift that favors precious metals. 

 

“We’re putting in a pretty good base now around $3,000,” McGlone said. “It’s going to head into $4,000 — the question is time. Gold is the most expensive ever versus the U.S. long bond market, and that’s a reflection of too much debt and the transition to tariffs creating more inflation.”  

 While there could be minor pullbacks, the underlying factors remain: political chaos, inflation concerns and shifting global alliances. Rate cuts from the Federal Reserve are expected to further weaken the dollar, creating a favorable backdrop for physical gold to continue its climb. 

As uncertainty dominates headlines, many are turning to the tangible safety of gold they can hold in their hands—not digital assets, not promises on paper, but real, physical gold. And if current trends hold, $3,300 may just be another milestone on the road to $4,000. 

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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*Views and opinions expressed are those of the authors they are meant for general informational purposes only, and should not be construed or interpreted as a recommendation or solicitation. Reagan Gold Group does not provide investment tax, legal financial planning, estate, planning, or any other personal finance advice. Reagan Gold Group holds no liability for the accuracy, or timeliness of the information provided. 

**Note – The Reagan Gold Group is not affiliated with the Reagan Library or the Reagan Foundation in any way. We’re just fans of Ronald Reagan and what he did for American gold ownership as president. 

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